China's Service-Based Spending Is The New Gold Rush For Western Firms
Economists have been advocating for Chinese consumers to increase their spending for years, but the country still has a way to go. Consumer spending as a percentage of GDP remains relatively low, at less than 50%, which is below the US average of around two-thirds.
However, according to John Quelch, executive vice chancellor at Duke Kunshan University in China, there's still plenty of room for growth – especially in services rather than finished goods. "Culture and heritage, media, entertainment, sports events, and travel are being encouraged by the government and delivering to consumers," he notes.
The shift towards service-based spending is evident, with 67% of the population now living in urban areas, compared to just under a fifth in 1980. This has resulted in limited space for large appliances and household goods, thus limiting consumption at home. China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao noted that the country's growth of 6.2% in sales of retail services in 2024 exceeded the increase in sales of retail goods by three percentage points.
One promising area is travel, with young people gravitating towards experiences over material goods. Quelch cites his own weekend travels in China as an example – most passengers on flights are under 30 years old and traveling to visit friends or relatives, museums, landmarks, or concerts.
Western companies are benefitting from this shift, with foreign firms like Merlin Entertainments seeing success with the Legoland Shanghai Resort. Meanwhile, Shanghai Disney Report plans for a fourth themed hotel. However, savings rates in China remain relatively high due to limited social safety nets, and concerns around the Western model of economic development that prioritizes consumption over environmental sustainability.
Quelch emphasizes that there's good consumption, high-quality consumption, and low-quality consumption – with the latter aggravating carbon footprints. As China transitions to a more service-based economy, "increased consumer spending on services offers a great opportunity for Western companies," he says.
Economists have been advocating for Chinese consumers to increase their spending for years, but the country still has a way to go. Consumer spending as a percentage of GDP remains relatively low, at less than 50%, which is below the US average of around two-thirds.
However, according to John Quelch, executive vice chancellor at Duke Kunshan University in China, there's still plenty of room for growth – especially in services rather than finished goods. "Culture and heritage, media, entertainment, sports events, and travel are being encouraged by the government and delivering to consumers," he notes.
The shift towards service-based spending is evident, with 67% of the population now living in urban areas, compared to just under a fifth in 1980. This has resulted in limited space for large appliances and household goods, thus limiting consumption at home. China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao noted that the country's growth of 6.2% in sales of retail services in 2024 exceeded the increase in sales of retail goods by three percentage points.
One promising area is travel, with young people gravitating towards experiences over material goods. Quelch cites his own weekend travels in China as an example – most passengers on flights are under 30 years old and traveling to visit friends or relatives, museums, landmarks, or concerts.
Western companies are benefitting from this shift, with foreign firms like Merlin Entertainments seeing success with the Legoland Shanghai Resort. Meanwhile, Shanghai Disney Report plans for a fourth themed hotel. However, savings rates in China remain relatively high due to limited social safety nets, and concerns around the Western model of economic development that prioritizes consumption over environmental sustainability.
Quelch emphasizes that there's good consumption, high-quality consumption, and low-quality consumption – with the latter aggravating carbon footprints. As China transitions to a more service-based economy, "increased consumer spending on services offers a great opportunity for Western companies," he says.