Turkey's Kurds may hold the key to Erdogan's downfall. The pro-Kurdish Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) has emerged as a powerful force in Turkish politics, and its decision not to field a presidential candidate could tip the balance in favor of Erdogan's main rival.
The HDP's move is seen as a strategic calculation by analysts, who point out that Kurdish voters traditionally support Erdogan's AK Party. However, some observers believe that the party's influence may be crucial in determining the outcome of the election.
Turkey's Kurds are the country's largest minority group, making up around 15-20% of the population. The HDP was founded in 2012 with a goal of promoting peaceful and democratic resolution to the Kurdish conflict.
The party has had a complicated relationship with Erdogan, who initially courted Kurdish support before turning against the party after it began chipping away at his voter base. Many Kurds view Erdogan as responsible for the human rights abuses inflicted upon them during the 1980s.
Erdogan's AK Party faces accusations of ties to the militant Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which is designated as a terrorist group by Turkey, the US, and the EU. The Turkish government has sought to link the HDP to the PKK but so far failed to prove any concrete connection.
The HDP knows that its position is delicate, with the party facing a case in Turkey's Constitutional Court over suspected ties to the PKK. Its candidates are running under the Green Left Party in parliament.
In this precarious situation, some analysts believe that the party's decision not to field a candidate may be beneficial for the opposition candidate, Kemal Kilicdaroglu. The HDP has emerged as a key player in Turkish politics, and its influence could determine the course of Turkey's politics.
Erdogan faces significant challenges in his bid for re-election, including allegations of authoritarianism, economic woes, and growing instability in the region.
The HDP's move is seen as a strategic calculation by analysts, who point out that Kurdish voters traditionally support Erdogan's AK Party. However, some observers believe that the party's influence may be crucial in determining the outcome of the election.
Turkey's Kurds are the country's largest minority group, making up around 15-20% of the population. The HDP was founded in 2012 with a goal of promoting peaceful and democratic resolution to the Kurdish conflict.
The party has had a complicated relationship with Erdogan, who initially courted Kurdish support before turning against the party after it began chipping away at his voter base. Many Kurds view Erdogan as responsible for the human rights abuses inflicted upon them during the 1980s.
Erdogan's AK Party faces accusations of ties to the militant Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which is designated as a terrorist group by Turkey, the US, and the EU. The Turkish government has sought to link the HDP to the PKK but so far failed to prove any concrete connection.
The HDP knows that its position is delicate, with the party facing a case in Turkey's Constitutional Court over suspected ties to the PKK. Its candidates are running under the Green Left Party in parliament.
In this precarious situation, some analysts believe that the party's decision not to field a candidate may be beneficial for the opposition candidate, Kemal Kilicdaroglu. The HDP has emerged as a key player in Turkish politics, and its influence could determine the course of Turkey's politics.
Erdogan faces significant challenges in his bid for re-election, including allegations of authoritarianism, economic woes, and growing instability in the region.