The Trump administration has taken a drastic step towards regime change in Venezuela, formally designating the country's president, Nicolás Maduro, and his allies as members of a non-existent foreign terrorist organization called Cartel de los Soles. This move is not only a bizarre label but also carries real-world consequences, including the potential for military intervention.
Phil Gunson, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, believes that this declaration was intended to send a message to Maduro that he could be considered a terrorist and might suffer the same fate as Osama bin Laden. However, it's essential to note that Cartel de los Soles is not a real organization; instead, it's a pejorative term coined more than 30 years ago by Venezuelan journalists.
Declaring this fake cartel a terrorist organization raises serious concerns about the potential for military action against Venezuela. The United States has already been committing extrajudicial killings of suspected drug runners in the Caribbean Sea and eastern Pacific Ocean, citing America's state of armed conflict with drug cartels. Now, the administration seems ready to expand this armed conflict into Venezuela.
The recent deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford, the world's largest aircraft carrier, to the Caribbean Sea is part of the biggest military buildup in the region since the Cuban missile crisis. The Trump administration has authorized plans for covert CIA action in Venezuela and has warned airlines about a "worsening security situation."
Despite this alarming escalation, it's surprising that Venezuela barely registers in American public discussions. In a recent CBS News/YouGov poll, only 1 in 5 Americans reported having heard or read a lot about the military buildup in the area. The administration's cursory explanations for possible military action make the case for the Iraq War look rigorous.
The root of this policy seems to be Venezuela's role in cocaine trafficking, but the country is not a significant hub for fentanyl production. Instead, it acts as a transit point for European-bound cocaine shipments. The administration's drug war rhetoric appears to be a pretext for something more sinister – regime change.
Marco Rubio, who drives the White House's Venezuela policy, is an ardent anti-communist who seeks to oust Maduro as part of his broader aim to undermine the Cuban regime in which he was born. Others within the administration hope that by targeting narco-traffickers in Mexico and then attacking Venezuela, they can send a message without directly engaging in military action.
Furthermore, Venezuela has massive oil reserves, which Trump sees as an opportunity to exert command in the Western Hemisphere. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently stated that if something happens in Venezuela, it could lead to a decrease in global oil prices.
The lack of public debate surrounding this escalation underscores how unusual and potentially destabilizing it is. While 70% of respondents in the CBS News/YouGov poll opposed military action in Venezuela, most people genuinely can't believe that such an action is even being considered. Phil Gunson believes that the Trump administration's pressure campaign was always unrealistic and that it has now created a phony war from which there is no easy exit.
In conclusion, the Trump administration's move towards regime change in Venezuela appears to be driven by a complex mix of motivations, including anti-communism, a desire for spheres of influence, and a perceived threat to American interests. However, this approach raises significant concerns about stability, international relations, and the rule of law.
Phil Gunson, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, believes that this declaration was intended to send a message to Maduro that he could be considered a terrorist and might suffer the same fate as Osama bin Laden. However, it's essential to note that Cartel de los Soles is not a real organization; instead, it's a pejorative term coined more than 30 years ago by Venezuelan journalists.
Declaring this fake cartel a terrorist organization raises serious concerns about the potential for military action against Venezuela. The United States has already been committing extrajudicial killings of suspected drug runners in the Caribbean Sea and eastern Pacific Ocean, citing America's state of armed conflict with drug cartels. Now, the administration seems ready to expand this armed conflict into Venezuela.
The recent deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford, the world's largest aircraft carrier, to the Caribbean Sea is part of the biggest military buildup in the region since the Cuban missile crisis. The Trump administration has authorized plans for covert CIA action in Venezuela and has warned airlines about a "worsening security situation."
Despite this alarming escalation, it's surprising that Venezuela barely registers in American public discussions. In a recent CBS News/YouGov poll, only 1 in 5 Americans reported having heard or read a lot about the military buildup in the area. The administration's cursory explanations for possible military action make the case for the Iraq War look rigorous.
The root of this policy seems to be Venezuela's role in cocaine trafficking, but the country is not a significant hub for fentanyl production. Instead, it acts as a transit point for European-bound cocaine shipments. The administration's drug war rhetoric appears to be a pretext for something more sinister – regime change.
Marco Rubio, who drives the White House's Venezuela policy, is an ardent anti-communist who seeks to oust Maduro as part of his broader aim to undermine the Cuban regime in which he was born. Others within the administration hope that by targeting narco-traffickers in Mexico and then attacking Venezuela, they can send a message without directly engaging in military action.
Furthermore, Venezuela has massive oil reserves, which Trump sees as an opportunity to exert command in the Western Hemisphere. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently stated that if something happens in Venezuela, it could lead to a decrease in global oil prices.
The lack of public debate surrounding this escalation underscores how unusual and potentially destabilizing it is. While 70% of respondents in the CBS News/YouGov poll opposed military action in Venezuela, most people genuinely can't believe that such an action is even being considered. Phil Gunson believes that the Trump administration's pressure campaign was always unrealistic and that it has now created a phony war from which there is no easy exit.
In conclusion, the Trump administration's move towards regime change in Venezuela appears to be driven by a complex mix of motivations, including anti-communism, a desire for spheres of influence, and a perceived threat to American interests. However, this approach raises significant concerns about stability, international relations, and the rule of law.