US Gas Prices Expected to Soar as OPEC+ Announces Production Cut. A surprise move by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels a day is likely to send US gas prices soaring in the coming months.
The decision, announced on Sunday, has already sent Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, surging about 6% in trading Monday, with gasoline futures also experiencing an immediate spike of nearly 3%. As a result, wholesale gasoline prices are up by around 8 cents a gallon, or about 3%, according to data.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza of OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, believes that OPEC's move could reignite the "inflation monster" and cause US drivers to face even higher pump prices. The current national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, but Kloza predicts it could reach $3.80-$3.90 in short order.
While some analysts suggest that gas prices may eventually decline by the end of summer if production disruptions or storms affect the Gulf Coast oil refineries, others are less optimistic, citing the impact of OPEC's decision as a significant increase to US motorists' pocketbooks.
In 2022, gas prices reached record levels of $5.02 per gallon following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent global energy market disruptions. However, since then, prices have declined steadily, albeit with some fluctuations. The current price is just below the pre-invasion average on February 23, 2022.
According to Kloza, one factor keeping prices in check is that US oil production and refining capacity are both up, with additional releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) also helping to mitigate the impact of OPEC's decision. However, a cut of this magnitude will be difficult to compensate for, suggesting that motorists can expect higher prices for the foreseeable future.
The decision, announced on Sunday, has already sent Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, surging about 6% in trading Monday, with gasoline futures also experiencing an immediate spike of nearly 3%. As a result, wholesale gasoline prices are up by around 8 cents a gallon, or about 3%, according to data.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza of OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, believes that OPEC's move could reignite the "inflation monster" and cause US drivers to face even higher pump prices. The current national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, but Kloza predicts it could reach $3.80-$3.90 in short order.
While some analysts suggest that gas prices may eventually decline by the end of summer if production disruptions or storms affect the Gulf Coast oil refineries, others are less optimistic, citing the impact of OPEC's decision as a significant increase to US motorists' pocketbooks.
In 2022, gas prices reached record levels of $5.02 per gallon following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent global energy market disruptions. However, since then, prices have declined steadily, albeit with some fluctuations. The current price is just below the pre-invasion average on February 23, 2022.
According to Kloza, one factor keeping prices in check is that US oil production and refining capacity are both up, with additional releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) also helping to mitigate the impact of OPEC's decision. However, a cut of this magnitude will be difficult to compensate for, suggesting that motorists can expect higher prices for the foreseeable future.