Yemen's Southern separatists' bold move has pushed Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to the brink of all-out war. The UAE's backing of the Southern Transitional Council (STC), a breakaway faction vying for independence, has reignited tensions between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi.
The dispute is not just about Yemen but also has implications for regional stability, as both countries have significant economic interests in the Horn of Africa and Sudan. Saudi Arabia views Yemen as its own backyard, having poured billions into the war against Iran-backed Houthi rebels since 2015. However, Riyadh's patience wore thin after the UAE's STC began making rapid gains in southern Yemen.
The crisis escalated when the STC seized control of key cities in Hadramaut and al-Mahra, with Saudi Arabia accusing Abu Dhabi of violating a long-standing non-aggression pact. Riyadh has been applying diplomatic pressure on Abu Dhabi to demand the STC's withdrawal, but so far, the UAE remains resolute.
"This is not just about Yemen; it's about the future of the region," says Farea al-Muslimi, a Yemen and Gulf research fellow at Chatham House. "The conflict reflects fundamental disagreements between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi over the future political structure of Yemen and the balance of influence within it."
As tensions simmer, the Houthis are watching with interest, aware that their foes are now turning against each other. Western governments, led by Washington, have been muted in their criticism of the UAE, leaving Saudi Arabia to bear the brunt of international censure.
The stakes are high, with Yemen's future hanging precariously in the balance. One misstep could lead to a wider conflict, drawing in Sudan and exacerbating the already volatile situation in the Horn of Africa. As the situation teeters on the brink of war, one thing is certain: only time will tell who will ultimately prevail in this proxy battle between Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
The dispute is not just about Yemen but also has implications for regional stability, as both countries have significant economic interests in the Horn of Africa and Sudan. Saudi Arabia views Yemen as its own backyard, having poured billions into the war against Iran-backed Houthi rebels since 2015. However, Riyadh's patience wore thin after the UAE's STC began making rapid gains in southern Yemen.
The crisis escalated when the STC seized control of key cities in Hadramaut and al-Mahra, with Saudi Arabia accusing Abu Dhabi of violating a long-standing non-aggression pact. Riyadh has been applying diplomatic pressure on Abu Dhabi to demand the STC's withdrawal, but so far, the UAE remains resolute.
"This is not just about Yemen; it's about the future of the region," says Farea al-Muslimi, a Yemen and Gulf research fellow at Chatham House. "The conflict reflects fundamental disagreements between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi over the future political structure of Yemen and the balance of influence within it."
As tensions simmer, the Houthis are watching with interest, aware that their foes are now turning against each other. Western governments, led by Washington, have been muted in their criticism of the UAE, leaving Saudi Arabia to bear the brunt of international censure.
The stakes are high, with Yemen's future hanging precariously in the balance. One misstep could lead to a wider conflict, drawing in Sudan and exacerbating the already volatile situation in the Horn of Africa. As the situation teeters on the brink of war, one thing is certain: only time will tell who will ultimately prevail in this proxy battle between Saudi Arabia and the UAE.