The Green Premium is a relic of the past, as China's relentless march towards clean energy has made it clear: the fossil premium will be the new benchmark for North America and Europe.
Cleantech was once dismissed as an overpriced niche, but that's no longer the case. The likes of BYD, with its affordable electric hatchback priced at €22,950 ($26,552 USD), have already won the market. Tesla may still be a household name, but it can't compete with the likes of BYD on price alone.
Tariffs are the only thing keeping North American and European carmakers from going belly up, as they're forced to shell out more for fossil fuels than China's EVs. But let's not forget that the real prize is in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. According to Lazard, onshore wind and utility-scale solar have been the most affordable sources of energy for the last decade.
As the International Renewable Energy Agency noted, 91% of renewable energy projects commissioned in 2024 were more cost-effective than any new fossil fuel alternatives. And with investment in clean energy expected to hit $2.2 trillion by 2025, it's clear that the West is lagging behind China and other nations.
The fossil premium may seem like a distant memory now, but make no mistake: it will only grow bigger unless North Americans and Europeans wake up to this reality. The IEA estimates that China controls an estimated 90% of global solar cell production, 85% of battery cell production capacity, and 69% of rare earth mineral production – giving them a stranglehold on the global clean energy market.
The challenge for investors is finding the right balance between near-term and long-term investments. It's a delicate dance to avoid short-term power shortages or stranded assets. But if they get it right, the rewards will be substantial.
In the end, countries that can produce abundant, affordable, and clean power will dominate the next century. Those clinging to fossil subsidies and bureaucratic inertia will lose competitiveness, jobs, and influence – slowly at first but exponentially after 2030.
The West should dare to face this reality and act accordingly. It's time to invite BYD to build an EV plant in Canada, leveraging its cost and manufacturing advantages, to serve both North American and European markets. Imagine a truly affordable electric pickup truck built in Ontario – it's not protectionism, but pragmatic industrial renewal.
The fossil premium may be dead, but the real challenge is ahead: embracing the future of clean energy and AI-driven innovation. The value chain between mining and recycling minerals and selling finished goods will be highly automated, boosting productivity to unknown heights. It's time for Western companies to catch up – or risk being left in the dust.
Cleantech was once dismissed as an overpriced niche, but that's no longer the case. The likes of BYD, with its affordable electric hatchback priced at €22,950 ($26,552 USD), have already won the market. Tesla may still be a household name, but it can't compete with the likes of BYD on price alone.
Tariffs are the only thing keeping North American and European carmakers from going belly up, as they're forced to shell out more for fossil fuels than China's EVs. But let's not forget that the real prize is in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. According to Lazard, onshore wind and utility-scale solar have been the most affordable sources of energy for the last decade.
As the International Renewable Energy Agency noted, 91% of renewable energy projects commissioned in 2024 were more cost-effective than any new fossil fuel alternatives. And with investment in clean energy expected to hit $2.2 trillion by 2025, it's clear that the West is lagging behind China and other nations.
The fossil premium may seem like a distant memory now, but make no mistake: it will only grow bigger unless North Americans and Europeans wake up to this reality. The IEA estimates that China controls an estimated 90% of global solar cell production, 85% of battery cell production capacity, and 69% of rare earth mineral production – giving them a stranglehold on the global clean energy market.
The challenge for investors is finding the right balance between near-term and long-term investments. It's a delicate dance to avoid short-term power shortages or stranded assets. But if they get it right, the rewards will be substantial.
In the end, countries that can produce abundant, affordable, and clean power will dominate the next century. Those clinging to fossil subsidies and bureaucratic inertia will lose competitiveness, jobs, and influence – slowly at first but exponentially after 2030.
The West should dare to face this reality and act accordingly. It's time to invite BYD to build an EV plant in Canada, leveraging its cost and manufacturing advantages, to serve both North American and European markets. Imagine a truly affordable electric pickup truck built in Ontario – it's not protectionism, but pragmatic industrial renewal.
The fossil premium may be dead, but the real challenge is ahead: embracing the future of clean energy and AI-driven innovation. The value chain between mining and recycling minerals and selling finished goods will be highly automated, boosting productivity to unknown heights. It's time for Western companies to catch up – or risk being left in the dust.