The recent meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping has been hailed as a 'necessary de-escalation' but not necessarily a solution to the long-standing issues between the two nations. The Chinese side presented a resolute front, with no concessions of gold or nobel nominations on offer, forcing Mr Trump to blink first and repackage what amounts to a small concession as a major success.
By agreeing to cut tariffs from 145% to 45%, Mr Trump's administration appears to have sidestepped an even more severe confrontation. China has committed to purchasing US soybeans and is delaying its plans for restrictive rare earth exports, but the long-term implications of this deal remain uncertain. One area where China is likely to retain a significant advantage is in artificial intelligence, with potential access to Nvidia's powerful Blackwell chip posing a serious blow to US competitiveness.
The year-long truce may offer temporary breathing space, but deeper structural issues remain unresolved. The erratic nature of Mr Trump's trade diplomacy has sent longstanding allies scrambling for alternatives, as the US withdraws from global institutions and China seeks to strengthen its role on the world stage. In reality, this is a two-step process - agreeing to step back from the brink without solving the underlying problems.
For instance, China's strategic mapping of economic vulnerabilities gives it time to continue its work, while the US lags behind in reducing dependence on Chinese rare earths, an issue that has proven particularly challenging for Japan. The situation is further complicated by Beijing's use of rare earth exports as leverage outside the US, sparking concerns among other nations and prompting a potential G7 alliance.
Ultimately, Thursday's meeting may have brought some comfort, but the underlying contradictions between these two global giants remain unresolved, posing risks not only to them but also to countries that rely on their relationship for trade and stability.
By agreeing to cut tariffs from 145% to 45%, Mr Trump's administration appears to have sidestepped an even more severe confrontation. China has committed to purchasing US soybeans and is delaying its plans for restrictive rare earth exports, but the long-term implications of this deal remain uncertain. One area where China is likely to retain a significant advantage is in artificial intelligence, with potential access to Nvidia's powerful Blackwell chip posing a serious blow to US competitiveness.
The year-long truce may offer temporary breathing space, but deeper structural issues remain unresolved. The erratic nature of Mr Trump's trade diplomacy has sent longstanding allies scrambling for alternatives, as the US withdraws from global institutions and China seeks to strengthen its role on the world stage. In reality, this is a two-step process - agreeing to step back from the brink without solving the underlying problems.
For instance, China's strategic mapping of economic vulnerabilities gives it time to continue its work, while the US lags behind in reducing dependence on Chinese rare earths, an issue that has proven particularly challenging for Japan. The situation is further complicated by Beijing's use of rare earth exports as leverage outside the US, sparking concerns among other nations and prompting a potential G7 alliance.
Ultimately, Thursday's meeting may have brought some comfort, but the underlying contradictions between these two global giants remain unresolved, posing risks not only to them but also to countries that rely on their relationship for trade and stability.