Trump's Housing Policy: A Recipe for Disaster
The US is in the midst of a severe housing affordability crisis, with unaffordable homes pricing out many families and individuals. But President Trump seems to think that by loosening regulations, he can drive up home prices for those who already own their homes. However, this approach is fundamentally flawed.
By eliminating pesky regulations, Trump believes he can cut the cost of a new home in half. While this may sound like a simple solution, it ignores the fact that cheaper entry-level homes would actually reduce the price of existing housing stock, making it even harder for others to buy. It's a classic case of "kicking the can down the road."
In reality, the main driver of rising housing prices is income inequality, particularly in urban areas. As highly paid college-educated workers bid up home prices, those without a college degree are left struggling to afford even the most basic homes. This is not a new phenomenon; recent research suggests that housing prices have risen in tandem with average incomes since the 1980s.
The proposed solution of relaxing zoning constraints on building is also misguided. While it's true that stricter regulations may limit development, more relaxed rules may lead to an oversupply of housing, driving down prices even further. In fact, a recent study found that the impact of deregulation on housing prices has been minimal, and that rising incomes are the primary driver of price growth.
Moreover, Trump's plan to cut interest rates would likely have the opposite effect, leading to higher mortgage costs and making it even harder for people to afford homes. This is precisely what happened during the 2008 financial crisis, when the Federal Reserve's actions sparked a surge in housing prices.
In short, Trump's housing policy is a mess, and his attempts to drive up home prices are unlikely to succeed. The only way to address the affordability crisis is to increase the supply of affordable homes, which requires a more nuanced approach than simply loosening regulations or cutting interest rates.
The US is in the midst of a severe housing affordability crisis, with unaffordable homes pricing out many families and individuals. But President Trump seems to think that by loosening regulations, he can drive up home prices for those who already own their homes. However, this approach is fundamentally flawed.
By eliminating pesky regulations, Trump believes he can cut the cost of a new home in half. While this may sound like a simple solution, it ignores the fact that cheaper entry-level homes would actually reduce the price of existing housing stock, making it even harder for others to buy. It's a classic case of "kicking the can down the road."
In reality, the main driver of rising housing prices is income inequality, particularly in urban areas. As highly paid college-educated workers bid up home prices, those without a college degree are left struggling to afford even the most basic homes. This is not a new phenomenon; recent research suggests that housing prices have risen in tandem with average incomes since the 1980s.
The proposed solution of relaxing zoning constraints on building is also misguided. While it's true that stricter regulations may limit development, more relaxed rules may lead to an oversupply of housing, driving down prices even further. In fact, a recent study found that the impact of deregulation on housing prices has been minimal, and that rising incomes are the primary driver of price growth.
Moreover, Trump's plan to cut interest rates would likely have the opposite effect, leading to higher mortgage costs and making it even harder for people to afford homes. This is precisely what happened during the 2008 financial crisis, when the Federal Reserve's actions sparked a surge in housing prices.
In short, Trump's housing policy is a mess, and his attempts to drive up home prices are unlikely to succeed. The only way to address the affordability crisis is to increase the supply of affordable homes, which requires a more nuanced approach than simply loosening regulations or cutting interest rates.