UK Economy Beats Forecasts with 0.3% Growth in November; Ofwat Investigating South East Water over Outages – as it Happened
The UK economy has returned to growth, outperforming expectations with a stronger-than-anticipated 0.3% expansion in November, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The better-than-expected data is likely to lift morale among policymakers, who had been bracing themselves for weaker economic performance following recent Brexit-related uncertainty.
This positive turn of events comes as investors and economists breathe a sigh of relief after an October contraction that was heavily impacted by the cyberattack on Jaguar Land Rover, which depressed vehicle production. The latest growth figure is in line with forecasters' estimates, but analysts say it's essential not to read too much into this month's data, given its volatility.
Economic output earlier in 2025 suffered from various headwinds, including supply chain disruptions and inflation concerns that had a dampening effect on consumer spending. However, the latest growth figures show that many parts of the economy have bounced back from these challenges.
Growth in September has also been revised upward to 0.1%, indicating that the economic downturn may be less severe than previously thought. The ONS noted that there is always a margin of error when estimating monthly GDP data and expressed caution about its reliability.
Other positive news for policymakers includes lower gilt yields, which means that borrowing costs have fallen as markets expect weaker inflation and further cuts by the Bank of England. This should give them more flexibility to implement fiscal policy changes, potentially benefiting Labour's election prospects.
However, there are other concerns on the horizon, including a growing construction sector slump that is causing output to decline by over 1% since July. This downturn highlights the ongoing challenge facing policymakers as they try to revive economic growth without fueling inflationary pressures.
Meanwhile, Britain's stock market has surged, with the FTSE 100 hitting an all-time high of 10,235 points, driven largely by gains in financial stocks such as HSBC and Barclays. Analysts attribute this boost to the positive GDP data and expectations of a more expansionary fiscal policy stance.
In another piece of news related to the UK's water industry, regulator Ofwat is investigating South East Water over repeated outages since November that left tens of thousands of households without drinking water across Kent and Sussex. The probe comes as the company's chief executive, David Hinton, is set to receive a £400,000 long-term bonus regardless of his performance if he stays on until July 2030.
Across the Atlantic, Germany's economy has also made a positive start to the year, with growth estimated at 0.2% year-on-year in 2025 according to the Federal Statistical Office. Household consumption and government spending were key drivers behind this expansion.
However, economists caution that investment fell during the same period, underscoring the ongoing challenge policymakers face in balancing stimulus policies with concerns about inflationary pressures.
The UK economy has returned to growth, outperforming expectations with a stronger-than-anticipated 0.3% expansion in November, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The better-than-expected data is likely to lift morale among policymakers, who had been bracing themselves for weaker economic performance following recent Brexit-related uncertainty.
This positive turn of events comes as investors and economists breathe a sigh of relief after an October contraction that was heavily impacted by the cyberattack on Jaguar Land Rover, which depressed vehicle production. The latest growth figure is in line with forecasters' estimates, but analysts say it's essential not to read too much into this month's data, given its volatility.
Economic output earlier in 2025 suffered from various headwinds, including supply chain disruptions and inflation concerns that had a dampening effect on consumer spending. However, the latest growth figures show that many parts of the economy have bounced back from these challenges.
Growth in September has also been revised upward to 0.1%, indicating that the economic downturn may be less severe than previously thought. The ONS noted that there is always a margin of error when estimating monthly GDP data and expressed caution about its reliability.
Other positive news for policymakers includes lower gilt yields, which means that borrowing costs have fallen as markets expect weaker inflation and further cuts by the Bank of England. This should give them more flexibility to implement fiscal policy changes, potentially benefiting Labour's election prospects.
However, there are other concerns on the horizon, including a growing construction sector slump that is causing output to decline by over 1% since July. This downturn highlights the ongoing challenge facing policymakers as they try to revive economic growth without fueling inflationary pressures.
Meanwhile, Britain's stock market has surged, with the FTSE 100 hitting an all-time high of 10,235 points, driven largely by gains in financial stocks such as HSBC and Barclays. Analysts attribute this boost to the positive GDP data and expectations of a more expansionary fiscal policy stance.
In another piece of news related to the UK's water industry, regulator Ofwat is investigating South East Water over repeated outages since November that left tens of thousands of households without drinking water across Kent and Sussex. The probe comes as the company's chief executive, David Hinton, is set to receive a £400,000 long-term bonus regardless of his performance if he stays on until July 2030.
Across the Atlantic, Germany's economy has also made a positive start to the year, with growth estimated at 0.2% year-on-year in 2025 according to the Federal Statistical Office. Household consumption and government spending were key drivers behind this expansion.
However, economists caution that investment fell during the same period, underscoring the ongoing challenge policymakers face in balancing stimulus policies with concerns about inflationary pressures.