Scientists have identified an asteroid that poses a potential threat to Earth's atmosphere if it strikes the Moon in 2032. The asteroid, known as 2024 YR4, has been deemed potentially hazardous and has a nearly 3% chance of impacting our planet when it passes close by. However, the odds of impact on the Moon are significantly higher at 4.3%.
The team simulated the path of this asteroid to investigate its potential effects if it were to hit the Moon. Their findings suggest that the collision would be one of the most energetic lunar impacts ever recorded, releasing about 8 megatons of energy during impact. The study found that if the asteroid hits the Moon's surface, a bright flash could be visible from Earth, lasting several minutes and followed by an infrared afterglow for hours.
Moreover, the team predicts that meteor showers would last for days following the lunar impact. This is because the asteroid would fling up to 220 million pounds of lunar rocks toward Earth, causing them to rain down through the night skies. The bright flash could be seen with the naked eye and shine at a magnitude between -2.5 and -3.
While the odds of this asteroid hitting the Moon or Earth have decreased significantly since its initial discovery in 2024, scientists are still monitoring it closely for any signs of danger. To better understand the potential risks associated with asteroid 2024 YR4, follow-up observations around its upcoming close flyby should be planned to determine an impact timeline and possible location where it may crash into the Moon.
The prospect of witnessing such a rare event offers scientists a unique opportunity to observe a lunar impact and study the effects on the lunar surface.
The team simulated the path of this asteroid to investigate its potential effects if it were to hit the Moon. Their findings suggest that the collision would be one of the most energetic lunar impacts ever recorded, releasing about 8 megatons of energy during impact. The study found that if the asteroid hits the Moon's surface, a bright flash could be visible from Earth, lasting several minutes and followed by an infrared afterglow for hours.
Moreover, the team predicts that meteor showers would last for days following the lunar impact. This is because the asteroid would fling up to 220 million pounds of lunar rocks toward Earth, causing them to rain down through the night skies. The bright flash could be seen with the naked eye and shine at a magnitude between -2.5 and -3.
While the odds of this asteroid hitting the Moon or Earth have decreased significantly since its initial discovery in 2024, scientists are still monitoring it closely for any signs of danger. To better understand the potential risks associated with asteroid 2024 YR4, follow-up observations around its upcoming close flyby should be planned to determine an impact timeline and possible location where it may crash into the Moon.
The prospect of witnessing such a rare event offers scientists a unique opportunity to observe a lunar impact and study the effects on the lunar surface.