Geert Wilders failed in government, but the far right retains its grip on the Netherlands | Cas Mudde

Dutch Politics Plagued by Fragmentation and Radicalisation

For the ninth time in a decade, Dutch voters will head to the ballot box to elect their lawmakers. This election marks another step in the Netherlands' journey towards becoming an Italy-esque country, plagued by political instability, fragmentation, and radicalization.

The collapse of Geert Wilders' government has led many to wonder how the far-right party managed to exit power so quickly. However, a closer look at the media coverage reveals that Dutch politics have become increasingly normalized around far-right ideologies. The dominant narrative is no longer one of "far right" vs "mainstream," but rather a spectrum of right-wing politicians vying for dominance.

Despite Wilders' departure from government, his PVV remains the most popular party in the country. Its loss of support is relatively modest, with roughly 4% fewer votes than in the previous election. This suggests that Wilders' brand of populism continues to hold sway among Dutch voters.

The far-right JA21 party has gained significant traction, particularly among the younger population. Its popularity has been fueled by a combination of social media savvy and a willingness to challenge established norms. The FVD's recent leadership change, which brought in Lidewij de Vos as its new leader, has also helped to revive the party's profile.

The Dutch political establishment has attempted to co-opt some of these far-right ideas, with centrist parties like D66 embracing a more communitarian patriotism and sharpening their immigration policies. Even the GreenLeft/Labour party, traditionally seen as a bastion of liberal values, has appeared on far-right-friendly TV shows, sparking widespread criticism.

The left remains relatively marginalized, struggling to break free from the media's dominance by far-right voices. The recent merger of the Greens and Labour into GL/PvdA has yet to yield significant results.

Polls indicate that the three electoral blocs – far right, centre-right, and left – are locked in a tight contest. Within each bloc, JA21 is gaining ground, while CDA and D66 are surging ahead of the VVD. This suggests that coalition formation will be a complex and protracted process.

The ruling parties' reluctance to work with Wilders or his ilk has created an "invisible wall" around far-right politics. However, this does not extend to all far-right parties, such as JA21, which remains free from the constraints of this "cordon sanitaire."

In conclusion, Dutch politics have become increasingly fragmented and radicalized, with the far right maintaining a strong grip on the country. As the Netherlands navigates its way through this challenging landscape, it is clear that the dominant narrative will continue to be shaped by far-right ideologies and politicians.
 
🤔 The fact that Geert Wilders' party has managed to exit power relatively quickly is actually a pretty big deal. I mean, think about it - in many other countries with similar ideologies, you'd expect them to dominate politics for years on end. But not here. It's almost as if Dutch voters are becoming increasingly sophisticated and aware of the nuances of right-wing extremism.

📊 And yeah, the idea that far-right politicians are now mainstream seems crazy to say the least. I mean, who would have thought that a party like JA21 would be gaining traction among young people? But at the same time, it's also kind of fascinating to see how centrist parties are trying to co-opt some of these ideas and make them palatable for the masses.

📺 The GreenLeft/Labour party appearing on far-right-friendly TV shows is just a really interesting example of how politics has become this weirdly polarized space. Like, what even is that? 🤷‍♀️ It's almost as if the left doesn't know how to respond to these kinds of narratives anymore.

🗳️ I do think it's going to be a super complicated coalition formation process though. With all three electoral blocs basically neck and neck, it's anyone's guess what will happen. But one thing is for sure - Dutch politics are never going to be boring again 😂
 
I'm just worried about the Netherlands right now... 🤔 they're heading down a dark path with all these parties and stuff 🌑️ I mean, Geert Wilders' party still has a lot of influence despite losing power, and this JA21 party is like, super popular among young people 🤯. It's like they're normalizing far-right ideologies or something? 🤷‍♂️ And the media's not doing much to challenge it either 📰. I'm just holding out hope that there'll be a way for them to break free from this cycle of fragmentation and radicalization 💪.
 
🤔 i think holland's got a major problem on their hands - they can't even agree on what's "far right" anymore. like, what's next? they'll have a party that's literally just a bunch of cats in hats 🐈🎩. and honestly, who needs stability when you've got all these crazy factions competing for power? 🤯 i mean, the greens and labour are still trying to figure out how to be "woke" without alienating their base 🙄. meanwhile, JA21 is just over here being young, radical, and totally on-brand for a generation that's all about woke and whatnot 🤑. honestly, holland needs some outside perspective - maybe someone from the us or uk could come in and shake things up 👀
 
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