Record-high Fossil Fuel Emissions Looming in 2025, Study Warns of 'Essentially Impossibility' to Meet 1.5°C Warming Target
A new report by an international team of scientists has found that global fossil fuel emissions are set to hit a record high of 38.1 billion tonnes of CO2 in 2025, surpassing the current level by 1.1%. This alarming trend is expected to push the world's ability to meet its 1.5°C warming target under the Paris Agreement to "essentially impossible."
The report's findings are particularly concerning given that the massive rollout of renewable technologies has yet to significantly impact energy demand, with fossil fuels still dominating the energy mix. The study highlights the urgent need for collective action from nations to reduce their emissions and transition to cleaner energy sources.
According to Pierre Friedlingstein, lead researcher at Exeter University, "four years of emissions at the current rate would exhaust the remaining allowance for limiting warming to 1.5°C." This bleak outlook underscores the critical importance of immediate and drastic reductions in fossil fuel emissions.
The failure to meet the 1.5°C target is being highlighted at the ongoing COP30 climate talks in Brazil, where nations are struggling to present viable plans to address the crisis. The US, the world's second-largest polluter, has opted out of these talks, further exacerbating the sense of global inaction.
While some countries, such as China and India, have seen slight decreases in CO2 emissions, others, including the EU and the US, have bucked recent downward trends with increased emissions. The lack of collective progress on reducing greenhouse gas emissions is a stark reminder that much more needs to be done to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change.
The study's findings also highlight the importance of adapting to the changing energy landscape. Glen Peters, researcher at the CICERO Center for International Climate Research, notes that while fossil fuel emissions in China may have plateaued this year, it is too early to declare that emissions have peaked. The world needs to see a sustained shift towards cleaner energy sources and more aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to avoid catastrophic climate change.
A new report by an international team of scientists has found that global fossil fuel emissions are set to hit a record high of 38.1 billion tonnes of CO2 in 2025, surpassing the current level by 1.1%. This alarming trend is expected to push the world's ability to meet its 1.5°C warming target under the Paris Agreement to "essentially impossible."
The report's findings are particularly concerning given that the massive rollout of renewable technologies has yet to significantly impact energy demand, with fossil fuels still dominating the energy mix. The study highlights the urgent need for collective action from nations to reduce their emissions and transition to cleaner energy sources.
According to Pierre Friedlingstein, lead researcher at Exeter University, "four years of emissions at the current rate would exhaust the remaining allowance for limiting warming to 1.5°C." This bleak outlook underscores the critical importance of immediate and drastic reductions in fossil fuel emissions.
The failure to meet the 1.5°C target is being highlighted at the ongoing COP30 climate talks in Brazil, where nations are struggling to present viable plans to address the crisis. The US, the world's second-largest polluter, has opted out of these talks, further exacerbating the sense of global inaction.
While some countries, such as China and India, have seen slight decreases in CO2 emissions, others, including the EU and the US, have bucked recent downward trends with increased emissions. The lack of collective progress on reducing greenhouse gas emissions is a stark reminder that much more needs to be done to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change.
The study's findings also highlight the importance of adapting to the changing energy landscape. Glen Peters, researcher at the CICERO Center for International Climate Research, notes that while fossil fuel emissions in China may have plateaued this year, it is too early to declare that emissions have peaked. The world needs to see a sustained shift towards cleaner energy sources and more aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to avoid catastrophic climate change.