Markets stay calm amid Trump's gambit, but long-term risks are huge | Nils Pratley

Markets have grown accustomed to President Trump's bombastic rhetoric, and for now, his latest tariff threat has had little impact on London stocks. The FTSE 100 index closed down 0.4%, a relatively modest drop that failed to stir panic. In contrast, European markets took a harder hit.

While it's true that markets have learned to temper their reactions to Trump's initial threats, the long-term risks associated with his policies remain substantial. Economists warn that prolonged trade tensions could lead to a UK or eurozone recession, with potentially devastating consequences for global economic stability.

Moreover, the escalating rhetoric between the US and Europe raises concerns about the potential for tit-for-tat measures in capital markets. German economist George Saravelos suggests that European funds may be less willing to invest in US assets if Trump's actions are seen as a threat to the transatlantic alliance. The notion of "weaponizing capital" has sparked alarm among market players, with some fearing that it could lead to a significant disruption in global financial markets.

The implications of such a move would be far-reaching, with European countries owning nearly twice as much US debt and equities as the rest of the world combined. A coordinated effort by European nations to sell off their US holdings could potentially drive up borrowing costs or even lead to a decline in the value of the dollar.

However, it's unlikely that such a move would be taken without careful consideration. The idea of restricting access to the single market for US companies is being discussed in Brussels, but any such decision would require significant diplomatic effort and coordination among European nations.

For now, markets are choosing to focus on the immediate risks associated with Trump's policies rather than speculating about potential long-term consequences. As the situation continues to unfold, investors will be watching closely for signs of escalation or de-escalation in tensions between the US and Europe.
 
Still don't get why they need to make it so hard on EU people πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ. Tariffs are already a thing now, what's the point of making more threats? And yeah, I'm still worried about that recession stuff 😬. We can't have global markets going haywire because of some politician's ego... like how do they even expect European countries to just 'sell off' their US debt and equities? πŸ€‘ That's a huge ask!
 
I'm low-key worried about this whole trade war thing 🀯. I mean, Trump's been making some pretty bold moves, and it's hard to predict how markets will react. As someone who loves staying ahead of the curve with new gadgets like my latest Samsung Watch 😎, I've got to stay informed on what's going down in the world economy.

I think European markets are getting a bit too stressed out about Trump's rhetoric πŸ€”. Have you seen those new augmented reality glasses from Vuzix? Game-changer! Anyway, where was I? Ah yeah, so if there is a recession, it could have major implications for global stability 🌎. We should all be keeping an eye on this situation and hoping for the best.

I'm not saying Trump's policies are good or bad, but let's try to stay calm and think about the bigger picture 🀝. Maybe we can just focus on what we can control – like my new 5G smartphone πŸ“±!
 
can't believe how quickly people are willing to give up on trump just 'cause he said some stuff about tariffs lol 🀣 markets seem like they're more scared of china than trump right now anyway... think it's gonna be a wild ride if european countries do decide to pull out of us assets tho πŸ€‘πŸ“ˆ
 
I'm feeling a bit anxious thinking about all this trade tension πŸ€―πŸ’Έ. I mean, we've got enough stress in our lives without worrying about economic instability, right? πŸ™…β€β™€οΈ As someone who's passionate about mindfulness and wellness, I think it's essential to focus on what we can control – our individual actions and mindset. Let's not forget that we're all connected and our collective energy can either fuel or calm the markets πŸ”₯πŸ’†β€β™€οΈ. What do you guys think? Should we be worried about this trade war, or is there something else we should be focusing on? πŸ€”
 
πŸ€”πŸ’Έ Markets have gotten used to Trump's trash talk πŸ—£οΈ, but his latest threat has only made a small dent 😐. Still, economists are warning about a bigger problem 🚨 - prolonged trade tensions could cause a recession in the UK or eurozone πŸ’”. And if things get worse, European funds might pull out of US assets πŸ“‰. The dollar could take a hit and interest rates go up ⬆️. That would be bad news for everyone 🀝.

I'm not saying it's going to happen πŸ˜…, but the idea of "weaponizing capital" is making people nervous 😬. We don't want a global financial meltdown πŸŒͺ️! But if anything happens, markets will know about it πŸ‘€. So, let's keep an eye on things πŸ‘Š and see how this all plays out πŸ€”πŸ’­.
 
Ugh, can't believe these markets are still ignoring the elephant in the room πŸ˜πŸ˜’... Trump's policies are like a ticking time bomb over there, just waiting to go off. I mean, sure, 0.4% drop might not be a big deal now, but trust me, it'll be a different story when things start to get real. And European markets taking the harder hit just shows how unpredictable this is all becoming 🀯... Those economists are right, prolonged trade tensions could lead to a recession, and I'm not surprised to hear that there's talk of "weaponizing capital" - sounds like some people are already panicking 😬... And don't even get me started on the implications for the dollar - it's only going to keep getting worse πŸ’Έ... But hey, at least the experts are having a chat about it in Brussels, maybe they'll figure something out πŸ€”... Yeah right πŸ™„
 
I'm still trying to wrap my head around all this trade stuff 🀯... I mean, I get that Trump's been talking trash about tariffs and whatnot, but it feels like markets are kinda numb to it at this point 😐. On one hand, it's good to see them not panicking (yet?)... on the other hand, economists are warning us about some serious risks 🚨... think recession, global economic instability, and even a potential sell-off of US assets by European nations πŸ€‘... that would be bad news for everyone involved 😬. And can we talk about this "weaponizing capital" thing? It sounds like a total recipe for disaster πŸ’₯... but I guess it's not all doom and gloom yet? 🀞
 
I'm getting a bad vibe from this whole thing πŸ€”πŸ’Έ. I mean, we're already dealing with enough economic uncertainty what with Brexit and all that. Adding trade tensions and "weaponizing capital" to the mix just seems like a recipe for disaster 😬. I think markets are right to be cautious, but at the same time, it's hard not to wonder if this is all just a big bluff πŸ€Ίβ€β™‚οΈ. Either way, I'm keeping an eye on my investments and trying to stay informed about what's going down in the markets #TradeWar #MarketVolatility #InvestorAwareness πŸ’»
 
I'm not surprised markets in London aren't panicking over this tariff threat 😐. I mean, Trump's been making threats like this for ages and they just kinda... roll off his tongue πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ. But you're right, long-term risks are real 🚨. Those trade tensions could lead to a recession in the UK or eurozone, and that'd be disastrous for everyone πŸ’Έ.

I'm a bit concerned about European funds selling off their US assets too πŸ“‰. If they start doing that, it could drive up borrowing costs and affect the value of the dollar πŸ’Έ. That's why I think markets are choosing to focus on the immediate risks rather than worrying about long-term consequences πŸ€”.

I'd love to see some diplomatic effort go into this instead of just "weaponizing capital" πŸ˜’. But for now, investors are playing it safe and watching the situation unfold πŸ‘€.
 
I'm not convinced that European funds would just sell off their US assets if there's a threat from Trump πŸ€‘. It's not like they have no other options. Plus, what's the point of letting Trump dictate how we play the game? πŸ’Έ The idea that markets are just going to calm down and forget about it once he makes some noise again is laughable πŸ˜‚. We need to think about the bigger picture here. What if this is just a precursor to something much worse? πŸ€” I'm not saying it's going to happen, but we can't just sit back and wait for things to escalate either. We need to keep an eye on this situation and be prepared for anything πŸ’‘.
 
I'm a bit worried about what's going down with Trump's tariff threat πŸ€” #TradeWars Are we heading into a recession? The FTSE 100 might've taken a small hit, but if things escalate, it could be a big deal for global markets πŸ“ˆ European funds owning nearly twice as much US debt & equities as the rest of the world is a scary thought 😬 What's up with all this tit-for-tat stuff in capital markets? #GlobalEconomy

Investors are choosing to focus on immediate risks, but I'm more concerned about long-term consequences πŸ•°οΈ The idea of restricting access to the single market for US companies seems like a possibility, and that would require some serious diplomatic effort #SingleMarket #USEurope
 
idk how much longer london can keep ignoring trump's antics πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ. markets are basically saying "oh cool, another threat" like it's no big deal πŸ™„. what if europe actually takes action tho? 😬 it'd be a global crisis. the thought of all those euros selling off their us debt and equities is giving me anxiety πŸ’Έ. but for now, it seems like markets are just playing a waiting game ⏰. anyone else think we're due for a major correction soon? πŸ€”
 
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