Michigan's cannabis industry is facing a bleak outlook in 2026, with new taxes threatening more store closures and layoffs. Since recreational sales began in December 2019, prices have plummeted, over 550 dispensaries and cultivators have closed, and thousands of employees have lost their jobs.
The state's recreational market saw a decline in annual sales for the first time in 2025, with adult-use dispensaries raking in $3.17 billion in revenue, down from $3.27 billion the previous year, a drop of about $100 million or 3.1%. The industry had previously experienced significant growth, making Michigan one of the top producers in the country.
The decline in sales is attributed to an oversaturated supply, with many businesses struggling to stay afloat due to declining prices. The average retail price for recreational flower fell to $58.20 in December 2025, down from $69.20 a year earlier and $95.08 in December 2019. This has led to a significant number of grow operations closing, with about 30.8% of growers shutting down since the industry began.
The new tax is expected to further exacerbate the issue, with the wholesale market anticipated to shrink by 14%. The state expects this to lead to a decline in excise and sales tax revenue, which has become an important source of income for cash-strapped cities and townships. Municipalities that allow dispensaries and other cannabis businesses to operate will also see their distributions shrink if more retailers shut down.
Legislators have proposed new legislation aimed at reducing oversupply by limiting competition. However, this could have a devastating impact on smaller cities like Hazel Park and Ferndale, which rely heavily on the tax revenue generated by these businesses.
Cannabis workers are particularly worried, with many employees asking if they will still have jobs due to the changes in the industry. The state's regulated cannabis industry remains a major employer, but it is facing significant challenges.
The situation is complex, and business owners are struggling to adapt. They are concerned that more consumers may turn to an illicit market that doesn't face steep tax rates, further exacerbating the decline of the legal market. For now, dispensaries, growers, processors, and other cannabis businesses will have to navigate these challenging waters, all while trying to find a way to stay sustainable and give back to customers.
The state's recreational market saw a decline in annual sales for the first time in 2025, with adult-use dispensaries raking in $3.17 billion in revenue, down from $3.27 billion the previous year, a drop of about $100 million or 3.1%. The industry had previously experienced significant growth, making Michigan one of the top producers in the country.
The decline in sales is attributed to an oversaturated supply, with many businesses struggling to stay afloat due to declining prices. The average retail price for recreational flower fell to $58.20 in December 2025, down from $69.20 a year earlier and $95.08 in December 2019. This has led to a significant number of grow operations closing, with about 30.8% of growers shutting down since the industry began.
The new tax is expected to further exacerbate the issue, with the wholesale market anticipated to shrink by 14%. The state expects this to lead to a decline in excise and sales tax revenue, which has become an important source of income for cash-strapped cities and townships. Municipalities that allow dispensaries and other cannabis businesses to operate will also see their distributions shrink if more retailers shut down.
Legislators have proposed new legislation aimed at reducing oversupply by limiting competition. However, this could have a devastating impact on smaller cities like Hazel Park and Ferndale, which rely heavily on the tax revenue generated by these businesses.
Cannabis workers are particularly worried, with many employees asking if they will still have jobs due to the changes in the industry. The state's regulated cannabis industry remains a major employer, but it is facing significant challenges.
The situation is complex, and business owners are struggling to adapt. They are concerned that more consumers may turn to an illicit market that doesn't face steep tax rates, further exacerbating the decline of the legal market. For now, dispensaries, growers, processors, and other cannabis businesses will have to navigate these challenging waters, all while trying to find a way to stay sustainable and give back to customers.