US Companies See Largest Payroll Decline Since Early 2023 as Labor Market Concerns Grow
A report from ADP Research indicates that US companies shed payrolls in November by the most since early 2023, further fueling concerns about a weakening labor market. The decline of 32,000 private-sector jobs marked the fourth consecutive month of job losses, contradicting economists' predictions of a 10,000 gain.
The disappointing ADP report has significant implications ahead of the Federal Reserve's final policy meeting next week, where policymakers will be weighing the need to cut interest rates against controlling inflation. Despite expectations of a rate cut, the guidance is likely to remain hawkish, with the Fed also releasing fresh quarterly economic projections.
"Weekly hiring has been quite choppy," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP and contributor to Bloomberg Television. "Employers are weathering cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment." The report showed that companies with fewer than 50 employees shed 120,000 jobs, the largest one-month decline since May 2020, while establishments with 50 or more employees saw a gain in headcount.
The labor market has been on shaky ground, with large corporations like Apple and Verizon Communications announcing layoffs. This trend is expected to drive unemployment higher and will be closely watched by policymakers as they make their decisions.
Wage growth also cooled according to the ADP report, with workers who changed jobs seeing a 6.3% increase in pay, the lowest since February 2021. Those who stayed put saw a 4.4% gain. The slowdown in wage growth is a concern for policymakers as they consider rate cuts and other monetary policies.
The November jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics will now be released on December 16 due to data collection being halted during the record-long shutdown. This report will provide further insight into the labor market, which is expected to remain a key focus for policymakers ahead of the Fed's final meeting next week.
A report from ADP Research indicates that US companies shed payrolls in November by the most since early 2023, further fueling concerns about a weakening labor market. The decline of 32,000 private-sector jobs marked the fourth consecutive month of job losses, contradicting economists' predictions of a 10,000 gain.
The disappointing ADP report has significant implications ahead of the Federal Reserve's final policy meeting next week, where policymakers will be weighing the need to cut interest rates against controlling inflation. Despite expectations of a rate cut, the guidance is likely to remain hawkish, with the Fed also releasing fresh quarterly economic projections.
"Weekly hiring has been quite choppy," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP and contributor to Bloomberg Television. "Employers are weathering cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment." The report showed that companies with fewer than 50 employees shed 120,000 jobs, the largest one-month decline since May 2020, while establishments with 50 or more employees saw a gain in headcount.
The labor market has been on shaky ground, with large corporations like Apple and Verizon Communications announcing layoffs. This trend is expected to drive unemployment higher and will be closely watched by policymakers as they make their decisions.
Wage growth also cooled according to the ADP report, with workers who changed jobs seeing a 6.3% increase in pay, the lowest since February 2021. Those who stayed put saw a 4.4% gain. The slowdown in wage growth is a concern for policymakers as they consider rate cuts and other monetary policies.
The November jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics will now be released on December 16 due to data collection being halted during the record-long shutdown. This report will provide further insight into the labor market, which is expected to remain a key focus for policymakers ahead of the Fed's final meeting next week.