OPEC's Surprise Move Sends US Gas Prices Soaring
In a surprise move, the OPEC+ group announced that it would slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May and lasting through the end of the year. This decision has sent shockwaves throughout the energy market, leading to a significant increase in global oil prices.
The impact on US gas prices was immediate, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, rising by about 6% in trading on Monday. Gasoline futures followed suit, jumping up by around 8 cents per gallon, or 3%, in morning trading. This rapid price spike will be felt at US gas pumps, where drivers can expect prices to rise significantly.
Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, warns that OPEC's move could "reawaken the inflation monster." The White House is likely to be concerned about the impact on consumer prices and the overall economy. Kloza estimates that US gas prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order.
While some analysts believe that US gas prices may not return to record levels of 2022, which reached as high as $5.02 a gallon in June, others expect prices to stabilize once the summer season begins. A hurricane or other storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast could still drive up prices, however.
The average US regular gas price a year ago stood at $4.19 a gallon, but that was before Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the resulting energy market disruption. Since then, prices have declined, partly due to releases from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The decline has been steady, with the average price falling every day for over three months.
However, OPEC's move could change this trajectory. Kloza notes that while the US plans additional releases from the SPR and oil production and refining capacity are both up, a cut of 1 million barrels per day of oil will not be easy to make up. The group's ability to cut production and their motivation to do so are key factors in determining the impact on prices.
With OPEC's surprise move sending US gas prices soaring, drivers can expect prices to rise significantly over the coming weeks. While some analysts predict a return to more normal price levels, others warn that the impact of this move could be long-lasting.
In a surprise move, the OPEC+ group announced that it would slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May and lasting through the end of the year. This decision has sent shockwaves throughout the energy market, leading to a significant increase in global oil prices.
The impact on US gas prices was immediate, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, rising by about 6% in trading on Monday. Gasoline futures followed suit, jumping up by around 8 cents per gallon, or 3%, in morning trading. This rapid price spike will be felt at US gas pumps, where drivers can expect prices to rise significantly.
Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, warns that OPEC's move could "reawaken the inflation monster." The White House is likely to be concerned about the impact on consumer prices and the overall economy. Kloza estimates that US gas prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order.
While some analysts believe that US gas prices may not return to record levels of 2022, which reached as high as $5.02 a gallon in June, others expect prices to stabilize once the summer season begins. A hurricane or other storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast could still drive up prices, however.
The average US regular gas price a year ago stood at $4.19 a gallon, but that was before Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the resulting energy market disruption. Since then, prices have declined, partly due to releases from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The decline has been steady, with the average price falling every day for over three months.
However, OPEC's move could change this trajectory. Kloza notes that while the US plans additional releases from the SPR and oil production and refining capacity are both up, a cut of 1 million barrels per day of oil will not be easy to make up. The group's ability to cut production and their motivation to do so are key factors in determining the impact on prices.
With OPEC's surprise move sending US gas prices soaring, drivers can expect prices to rise significantly over the coming weeks. While some analysts predict a return to more normal price levels, others warn that the impact of this move could be long-lasting.