New Jersey, a state already reeling from devastating storms like Hurricane Sandy, is facing an even greater threat: accelerating sea-level rise. A new study by the New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center at Rutgers University warns that global carbon emissions could lead to a staggering 2.2-3.8 feet of sea-level rise by 2100, putting millions of residents at risk.
However, if ice-sheet melt accelerates, seas could rise as much as 4.5 feet, making the situation even more dire. The report's authors stress that human-caused climate change is not only accelerating sea-level rise but also increasing flood hazards along the state's coast and in communities near tidal rivers, marshes, and wetlands.
The study's findings are based on input from 144 scientists and a detailed analysis of current emissions scenarios. According to Robert Kopp, a Rutgers climate scientist who led the study, the current level of emissions matches an "intermediate" scenario, which predicts sea-level rise between 2.2-3.8 feet by 2100.
But it's not just the magnitude of sea-level rise that's alarming; it's also the frequency and severity of flooding events. The report forecasts that an intermediate emissions scenario would lead to 2.9-4.7 inches of sea-level rise per decade between 2040 and 2060, rising by as much as 5.6 inches per decade between 2080 and 2100.
By 2050, Atlantic City is expected to see between 29 and 148 flood days a year, with the number of coastal flood days exceeding 131 per year by the end of the century. The report also warns about "compound flooding," where higher seas combine with storm surge, heavy rains, and swollen rivers to make flooding worse.
As sea levels continue to rise, erosion will worsen, and efforts to fight it may be overwhelmed. Wetlands, which protect coastlines and wildlife, may no longer be able to adapt to rising seas. The report's authors stress that future projected rates of sea-level rise in New Jersey may exceed the pace at which many coastal wetlands can adapt.
The study's findings serve as a stark reminder of the devastating consequences of climate change. With global carbon emissions continuing to rise, it's clear that urgent action is needed to reduce emissions and mitigate the effects of sea-level rise.
However, if ice-sheet melt accelerates, seas could rise as much as 4.5 feet, making the situation even more dire. The report's authors stress that human-caused climate change is not only accelerating sea-level rise but also increasing flood hazards along the state's coast and in communities near tidal rivers, marshes, and wetlands.
The study's findings are based on input from 144 scientists and a detailed analysis of current emissions scenarios. According to Robert Kopp, a Rutgers climate scientist who led the study, the current level of emissions matches an "intermediate" scenario, which predicts sea-level rise between 2.2-3.8 feet by 2100.
But it's not just the magnitude of sea-level rise that's alarming; it's also the frequency and severity of flooding events. The report forecasts that an intermediate emissions scenario would lead to 2.9-4.7 inches of sea-level rise per decade between 2040 and 2060, rising by as much as 5.6 inches per decade between 2080 and 2100.
By 2050, Atlantic City is expected to see between 29 and 148 flood days a year, with the number of coastal flood days exceeding 131 per year by the end of the century. The report also warns about "compound flooding," where higher seas combine with storm surge, heavy rains, and swollen rivers to make flooding worse.
As sea levels continue to rise, erosion will worsen, and efforts to fight it may be overwhelmed. Wetlands, which protect coastlines and wildlife, may no longer be able to adapt to rising seas. The report's authors stress that future projected rates of sea-level rise in New Jersey may exceed the pace at which many coastal wetlands can adapt.
The study's findings serve as a stark reminder of the devastating consequences of climate change. With global carbon emissions continuing to rise, it's clear that urgent action is needed to reduce emissions and mitigate the effects of sea-level rise.