President Donald Trump's deadline for a Ukraine peace agreement has come and gone without a breakthrough, leaving many to wonder if he is being played once again by Russian President Vladimir Putin. A telling indicator of the Kremlin's intentions lies in their handling of recent White House diplomacy efforts.
According to a foreign policy scholar close to Putin's regime, as long as hostilities continue, Russia can exert leverage over Ukraine. Once the fighting stops, however, the tables are turned, and Russia finds itself facing coordinated diplomatic pressure - an outcome the scholar believes is "we harbour no illusions" about coming to pass.
In reality, Putin has little interest in a ceasefire followed by talks that would respect Ukraine's sovereignty. His goal is to see Ukraine capitulate and be absorbed into Moscow's orbit, whether through military force or a Trump-backed deal imposed on Kiev.
The Russian president has reiterated his demands for Ukrainian territory in the east, threatening "force of arms" if those demands are not met. He also continues to describe Ukraine's government as "illegitimate," questioning the validity of any future agreement.
Meanwhile, Trump is being strung along once again by Putin's empty praise and promises of cooperation, all while Russia resists efforts to negotiate a peaceful resolution based on territorial concessions. The fact that Trump has been presented with a peace plan by Ukraine and the US - one that calls for an end to fighting as a precondition for talks over territory - suggests that the Kremlin remains committed to resisting such talks.
The recent resignation of Andriy Yermak, Ukraine's chief of staff, after being placed under investigation by anti-corruption authorities, is a damaging development that could further undermine Putin's negotiating position. However, it also serves as a stark reminder that Ukraine's president is facing immense pressure and vulnerability at this critical juncture.
The real question now is whether Trump will fall prey to his own presidential vanity and desire to do business with Russia, or if he will resist the temptation of doing Putin's dirty work for him. As the situation in Ukraine continues to deteriorate, Europe must take responsibility for ensuring that Ukraine is not bullied into a cynical carve-up that would leave it vulnerable to Russian aggression and jeopardize European security.
By signaling a commitment to provide Ukraine with sufficient financial and military resources to resist Russia's aggression, European leaders can alter the dynamic of negotiations and send a clear message to both Putin and Trump: that they will resolutely defend Ukraine's right to a just peace.
According to a foreign policy scholar close to Putin's regime, as long as hostilities continue, Russia can exert leverage over Ukraine. Once the fighting stops, however, the tables are turned, and Russia finds itself facing coordinated diplomatic pressure - an outcome the scholar believes is "we harbour no illusions" about coming to pass.
In reality, Putin has little interest in a ceasefire followed by talks that would respect Ukraine's sovereignty. His goal is to see Ukraine capitulate and be absorbed into Moscow's orbit, whether through military force or a Trump-backed deal imposed on Kiev.
The Russian president has reiterated his demands for Ukrainian territory in the east, threatening "force of arms" if those demands are not met. He also continues to describe Ukraine's government as "illegitimate," questioning the validity of any future agreement.
Meanwhile, Trump is being strung along once again by Putin's empty praise and promises of cooperation, all while Russia resists efforts to negotiate a peaceful resolution based on territorial concessions. The fact that Trump has been presented with a peace plan by Ukraine and the US - one that calls for an end to fighting as a precondition for talks over territory - suggests that the Kremlin remains committed to resisting such talks.
The recent resignation of Andriy Yermak, Ukraine's chief of staff, after being placed under investigation by anti-corruption authorities, is a damaging development that could further undermine Putin's negotiating position. However, it also serves as a stark reminder that Ukraine's president is facing immense pressure and vulnerability at this critical juncture.
The real question now is whether Trump will fall prey to his own presidential vanity and desire to do business with Russia, or if he will resist the temptation of doing Putin's dirty work for him. As the situation in Ukraine continues to deteriorate, Europe must take responsibility for ensuring that Ukraine is not bullied into a cynical carve-up that would leave it vulnerable to Russian aggression and jeopardize European security.
By signaling a commitment to provide Ukraine with sufficient financial and military resources to resist Russia's aggression, European leaders can alter the dynamic of negotiations and send a clear message to both Putin and Trump: that they will resolutely defend Ukraine's right to a just peace.