Novo Nordisk's Forecast of Sharp Revenue Drop Due to Trump's Price Push and Patent Expirations
The Danish pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk has predicted a significant decline in revenue for 2026 due to the impact of President Donald Trump's efforts to lower US weight loss drug prices, rising competition, and expiring patent protections.
Sales are expected to fall between 5% and 13%, marking a sharp decrease from the double-digit growth seen in previous years. The company attributed this decline to the "painful" price cuts imposed by the Trump administration, which has reduced the average price of its weight loss medications from over $1,000 per month to $350.
The expiring patent protections for semaglutide, the main ingredient of Novo's obesity and diabetes treatments, have also increased competition in the market. Generic drugmakers can now produce cheaper versions of Novo's drugs, further contributing to the decline in sales.
Despite these challenges, Novo remains optimistic about its long-term prospects, with CEO Mike Doustdar stating that he hopes the current pricing pressure will be an "investment for our future." The company plans to focus on selling higher volumes of obesity and diabetes medications over the coming years, driven by lower prices.
In contrast, Eli Lilly's forecast for 2026 sales is significantly stronger, with estimates ranging from $80 billion to $83 billion. Lilly's Mounjaro jab has shown promising results in clinical studies, leading to a valuation of over $1 trillion, making it the first pharmaceutical company to achieve this milestone.
GSK, another major pharmaceutical company, has also adjusted its sales forecast for 2026, predicting growth between 3% and 5%. The company is taking steps to adapt to changing market conditions, including cutting costs and investing in new research and development initiatives.
The Danish pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk has predicted a significant decline in revenue for 2026 due to the impact of President Donald Trump's efforts to lower US weight loss drug prices, rising competition, and expiring patent protections.
Sales are expected to fall between 5% and 13%, marking a sharp decrease from the double-digit growth seen in previous years. The company attributed this decline to the "painful" price cuts imposed by the Trump administration, which has reduced the average price of its weight loss medications from over $1,000 per month to $350.
The expiring patent protections for semaglutide, the main ingredient of Novo's obesity and diabetes treatments, have also increased competition in the market. Generic drugmakers can now produce cheaper versions of Novo's drugs, further contributing to the decline in sales.
Despite these challenges, Novo remains optimistic about its long-term prospects, with CEO Mike Doustdar stating that he hopes the current pricing pressure will be an "investment for our future." The company plans to focus on selling higher volumes of obesity and diabetes medications over the coming years, driven by lower prices.
In contrast, Eli Lilly's forecast for 2026 sales is significantly stronger, with estimates ranging from $80 billion to $83 billion. Lilly's Mounjaro jab has shown promising results in clinical studies, leading to a valuation of over $1 trillion, making it the first pharmaceutical company to achieve this milestone.
GSK, another major pharmaceutical company, has also adjusted its sales forecast for 2026, predicting growth between 3% and 5%. The company is taking steps to adapt to changing market conditions, including cutting costs and investing in new research and development initiatives.